As the caseload of fungal meningitis linked to a tainted steroid drug climbs,
experts are learning more about this human-made epidemic. The signs indicate
that cases could still be emerging until Thanksgiving or beyond.
The
latest count is
268 cases of meningitis and three patients with fungal joint infections, spread
across 16 states from New Hampshire to Texas and Idaho to Florida. Twenty-one
people have died.
The illness is caused
by a fungus called
Exserohilum
rostratum, a black mold that usually attacks plants. It's so rare as a cause
of human illness that nobody knows its incubation period.
So it's hard to predict when the outbreak will be over, even though
presumably no patients received the contaminated steroid since the Massachusetts
pharmacy that made it recalled three lots on Sept. 21.
"The incubation period
is something that's been a big question," Dr.
Tom Chiller of the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention told a Thursday evening session of
the IDWeek meeting in San Diego.
"The majority [of cases] have incubation periods around one to four weeks,
but we've clearly seen documented periods beyond that," he said.
Chiller told Shots
that none has been beyond two months so far. That's based on 155 cases for which
the CDC has firm dates for steroid injection and symptom onset. The incubation
period is hard to calculate, though, because many patients had multiple
injections of potentially contaminated
methylpredisolone
made by the
New England Compounding
Center.
The
CDC
says infections following steroid injections into ankles, knees, hips,
shoulders or elbows "may take longer to develop than fungal meningitis."
Even more sobering, the meningitis incubation period was as long as five
months in an eerily similar outbreak of mold-contaminated methylprednisolone in
North Carolina back in 2002.
Dr. John Perfect of
Duke University
recalls that
outbreak in an article published online by the
Annals of Internal
Medicine on Thursday.
"We learned, or thought we learned, several important lessons from the
outbreak," Perfect writes.
One of them is that mixing preservative-free steroid drugs such as the one
involved in both outbreaks "requires meticulous sterility to ensure lack of
fungal contamination," he says. Anything less and fungi "grow aggressively" in a
highly concentrated steroid solution.
But there are encouraging signs. For both the 2002 episode and the current
one so far, the "attack rate" is apparently low. That is, few of those injected
with the contaminated steroid get sick — for unknown reasons.
That's an inference from the fact that public health authorities estimate
14,000 people got the tainted injections since May 21. While no one can say how
many people ultimately will get sick, at least it's not in the thousands so
far.
Second, the CDC's Chiller says more recent cases are less sick.
"Early in the outbreak, we saw more advanced disease," he says. "Now, as
we've reached out to all these patients, we're identifying people early and
symptoms are very mild."
CDC officials say that 97 percent of the 14,000 people thought to have
received the contaminated steroid have been reached and advised to watch for
signs of infection.
Continue reading the full NPR story here
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